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Subject: How much WotDQ do you need to buy?

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jgsugden
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05/05/2006 4:33 PM  
I thought I'd kick my random number generator a bit and figure out what some theoretical pulls of WotDQ would look like when purchased by the case... I assumed that the huge rares would be paired in a case like the GoL Huge Rares were (my hunch - if the Spectral Wombat is a huge rare in a case, it will always be paired with the Golden Snitch huge rare in a case), and I assumed no repetition of normal rares or uncommons in a case (per Shoe's earlier comments)...

Putting aside the details in favor of more useful summary info:

* After 3 cases, you're likely to have ~12 or 13 of the 18 (normal) rares in the set. You're likely to only have 1 rare in triplet.

* By buying 4 cases, you're likely to get ~15 of the 18 rares in the set.

* You'll likely get a complete set of huge rares in 5 cases or less, although ~1/3 of the people will find that 5 cases will not get them all of them. If the huge rares are not paired in a case, but are randomly distributed, this number skyrockets to needing about 10 cases to get a complete set (although there is a huge variation in the number of cases it took in my sample ... between 4 cases and 22 cases). If WotC thought about this at all, I think they'd pair the huge rares to keep the masses happy. If the rares are paired, buying by the case will drastically effect how long it will take to complete your huge rare collection without trading.

* It will likely take you 3 cases to get a set of normal uncommons, although it will not be unusual to take 2 or 4 cases to get the complete set. It will be rare for it to take 5 or more cases.

* If you try to collect a complete set without trading, it will likely take between 7 and 13 cases (median ~10, average ~11) to get all the normal rares.

* Common, uncommon, huge uncommon and huge rare sets are likely to be completed well before a rare set is complete via single booster purchases.

* If you buy 4 cases, you'll likely need to trade for 2 huge rares and ~ 3 to 4 normal rares to complete the set.

Edit: Personally, I am buying 3 cases, plus 4 boosters on prerelease weekend and 4 boosters to use up a gift cards. Then, I'll trade/buy the remaining figures I want or need (although a complete set is not something I care about).

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05/05/2006 4:40 PM  
Hrm, maybe I should bump my order up by a case. :P

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Count Dooku
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New York

05/05/2006 4:42 PM  
Im still getting 4 cases..Then trade to complete the set. No matter how bad the set is turing out to be I cant help it...Im an addict.

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griffrat
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05/05/2006 4:48 PM  
Still, looking at three to four cases and trade secondary market for the rest of the plasticrack

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zenthrus
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SLC, UT

05/05/2006 4:51 PM  
3 cases then trades/ebay for the rest. I expect to be sufficiently common/uncommoned-out after 3 cases.

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05/05/2006 4:59 PM  
Well, anyway that volume of cases is lower than in any other set. [:p]

Four cases here as I'm addicted to the 24 rares start base. [)]

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yack
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Gatineau Canada

05/05/2006 5:02 PM  
Maybe just one case this round for me. I love the Purple Worm, Fire elemental (they are uncommon)and the Dracolich so far but the rest are just ok. Too early too tell but nothing has hit me like the Red Dragon and all the giants from GOL.
EDIT: of ya and Tiamat!

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05/05/2006 5:03 PM  
quote:
Originally posted by Count Dooku

Im still getting 4 cases..Then trade to complete the set. No matter how bad the set is turing out to be I cant help it...Im an addict.




I heartily disagree. In fact, I like it BETTER than Giants of Legend, which was one of my least favorite sets.

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Runelord151
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05/05/2006 5:30 PM  
hmmm, so 6 cases should get me about one of all the rare huges with 2 of some.

What are the stats on how many multiple rares I'll have?

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05/05/2006 5:35 PM  
I probably won't be buying any cases at all at this rate. What I'm more likely to do is order a Booster just for fun, then buy Singles. The reason:

I only play CG (main) and LG (secondary). CE/LE have no value to me except for trading to Zozo or other people. And since this set is shaping up to be Evil-weighted, I'll simply buy Singles to get what I want.

I like what CG/LG pieces I am seeing, but they're distinctly in the minority, so this saves money.

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The G Spot

05/05/2006 5:36 PM  
Got 4 coming to me. Would order more If I had the extra scratch.

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Umass Amherst Baby!

05/05/2006 5:44 PM  
It's looking like three to four for me. I'll likely get two initialy, and then a couple cases down the road.

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Netherlands

05/05/2006 6:37 PM  
I'm ordering 4, and I think that will be enough of all commons and uncommons for me. The rares still missing will be bought from ebay.

that's just how I'll be doing it,

D.

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Ssylyss
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05/05/2006 6:42 PM  
I'll be getting 9 cases I'll let you know how it breaks down, hopefully I wont have to trade at all.[:D]

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Thousandsofminis
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05/05/2006 7:11 PM  
I had 60 cases on order for my store, but also coming out of that is the figures that our group keeps as well. I more than likely will be bumping that to 80 cases given what I have seen, despite the haters on the boards, I think this set looks to have some awesome figures in it, and the huge fire elementals so far are pushing towards my favorite, but I'll have to wait till I start cracking them all open.

Official Release date is July 7th correct?

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zoroaster100
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05/05/2006 7:11 PM  
I preordered three cases, but I'm thinking of cancelling at least part of my order, since it looks like most of the huges in this set are not that useful to me. So far the dracolich and huge fire elemental are ones I really want. I could use a couple of huge spiders, though I could also get (and have gotten) plastic spiders from a toy store to fill that need. I'm still holding out hope for a couple more RPG useful huges, like a chromatic dragon (one without a rider, since the black with a rider is useless to me), a huge water elemental, nalfeshnee, aboleth or hydra.


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ChristopherGroves
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05/05/2006 7:13 PM  
Well, life intervenes. I'd *like* four cases. Reality though is that I'm going to probably not be ordering any and have to trade for some or buy onesie-twosie over time.

All about priorities right now, and unfortunately buying new minis just isn't high on the list.

But man, I want lots. Not since Deathknell have I wanted as many ...

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taliesin
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05/05/2006 7:36 PM  
3 cases for me, and I think I've got a buddy willing to get 3 cases himself, which would make a nice-sized order for GO.

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MarioCleanstuff
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San Diego, CA

05/05/2006 7:46 PM  
Myself, I will buy eight cases. Originally intended to get six, but then discovered a website with prices low enough that I could get two more cases for only $50 over what I expected to pay for six of 'em. I may have to scale back the number of cases I get initially if some unforseen complication arises, but if I do, I shall buy more cases in the months following its release until I have the complete set.

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05/05/2006 7:58 PM  
5-6 boosters [:)]

I'm addicted... but out of money and not old enought to have a credit card heh

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05/05/2006 8:25 PM  
quote:
Originally posted by zoroaster100

I preordered three cases, but I'm thinking of cancelling at least part of my order, since it looks like most of the huges in this set are not that useful to me. So far the dracolich and huge fire elemental are ones I really want. I could use a couple of huge spiders, though I could also get (and have gotten) plastic spiders from a toy store to fill that need. I'm still holding out hope for a couple more RPG useful huges, like a chromatic dragon (one without a rider, since the black with a rider is useless to me), a huge water elemental, nalfeshnee, aboleth or hydra.


Hi All,

Same here. I have 5 cases order but I'm thinking I won't need that many at all. Tiamat would've been better served as a member of the icons line instead of a huge...she could've been beautifully
gi-normous! Especially on an 8x8 base.

I do like the worm, the elemental and the dracolich. The dragon, without a rider would've had me excited. The spider is not my first choice, but useable in numbers. So unless they unveil something gripping, then I'll probably be reducing my purchase. Here's to a huge white or green dragon, huge water elemental, and a large uncommon frost giant!

BTW:
how come we aren't seeing any commons? Anyone else worried by this?

final count...currently at 5 probably end up at 2 or 3.

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05/05/2006 9:28 PM  
3 cases. Yes, 3 cases. No more.

The rest will be singles/trading.

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kyrin
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05/05/2006 9:40 PM  
I'm vascillating right now between two cases and a case + incidental boosters. I'll need to see some more before I can make a decision. Of course, I'll do a lot of eBaying.

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05/05/2006 10:18 PM  
4 cases for me. Then like most of you a few trades/buys and I'll have what I need.

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Albuquerque, NM, USA

05/05/2006 10:30 PM  
Sigh, I still have to buy Wardrums. Hope I still have money left when all the dust settles in my new house.

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05/05/2006 10:44 PM  
I'll get somewhere between two and six (probably). Two is a no-brainer, but after that things are up in the air.

I know singles are more expensive, but when you get the right pulls, it's sooo much nicer to not have 200 figures of trade-bait.

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05/05/2006 10:47 PM  
I will splitting cases with my son so hopefully between us we can get most of what each of us wants. Probably about 2 cases each. Then limited events for the rest with crossed fingers.

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Dargoth
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05/05/2006 11:03 PM  
2 maybe 3 cases. The rest Ill pick up at online stores as singles

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05/05/2006 11:05 PM  
Glad to see my stratagy is spot on, 3 cases plus prerelease and trade for the rest.

Thanks for the numbers breakdown jgsugden it helps put my mind at ease.

Grim
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05/05/2006 11:09 PM  
I don't NEED to buy any. But I will. Probably no more than 3 cases as it sits. I'm not happy about the huges so far (other than the Dlich).

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Poland

05/06/2006 6:45 AM  
I'll buy 3 or 4 cases and do some tradeing.

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Newtoncain
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Land of 10,000 taxes

05/06/2006 6:59 AM  
What I want = way too many.

What I can afford = not enough.

Good thing most events at GenCon will use WotDQ booster.

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